Category: General

predictive analytics superforecaster

From Oracles to Algorithms: A Golden Age of Prediction

Written by Shay Dalton

“Even though the settings have changed—with glass skyscrapers replacing ancient temples—our innate desire to predict the future remains unwavering. We’ve shifted from seeking guidance from oracles to heeding the insights of modern-day experts: economists, scientists, and statisticians. The unpredictable nuances of geopolitics and the intricate web of global economies underscore the challenges of forecasting.”

High Standards and Low Expectations: a Blueprint for Wellbeing

Written by Shay Dalton

“Fundamentally, standards are often seen as the internal benchmarks or criteria we set for ourselves, encompassing our definitions of quality, competence, or excellence. They are self-generated and typically align with our values, aspirations, and sense of identity. On the other hand, expectations represent our forecasts or assumptions about future events or outcomes.”

How Much Should You be Working?

Written by Shay Dalton

“Digital tools have made it possible to work from pretty much anywhere, at pretty much any time. This was supposed to usher in a new age of liberation: the worker, no longer constrained by their office environment or nine-to-five schedule, is now free to live the life they always wanted. In reality, it has just meant the expectation of swift email correspondence has extended its lebensraum to the realms of evenings, weekends and even holidays. That edenic notion of freetime signed off its suicide note with a customary “sent from my iPhone” footer.”

Grasping the Unexpected: the Unforeseen Opportunities in Everyday Life

Written by Shay Dalton

In a serendipitous twist of fate, The Rolling Stone’s first encounter at Chess Studios was not with a studio executive or an eager intern but Muddy Waters himself. But he was not wielding a guitar; he was clad in overalls, perched on a ladder, paintbrush in hand, and whitewash streaming down his face. The Stones were startled, and in the confusion, an opportunity emerged, laying bare the perfect juxtaposition of the seemingly mundane and its grand potential.

Overcoming News Fatigue

Written by Shay Dalton

“As noted in the Athens Journal of Mass Media and Communications, “research has confirmed the mental health impact of news consumption. One study found heightened anxiety, even sadness, in people who watched negative news-related material, such as bulletins, after only minutes”. For citizens who want to remain engaged, then, there exists a quandary: do you sacrifice your own well-being out of a sense of civic duty, or do you cut down on your consumption, willfully opting for the bliss of ignorance?”

You’re Not Perfect, So Stop Trying To Be

Written by Shay Dalton

“It becomes an endless loop. Perfectionism brings a person dissatisfaction – maybe even depression or suicidal ideation – so they go to a therapist to fix the problem. They want to get rid of the depression, they say, but they don’t want to lose the perfectionism that contributes to it as they believe it offers them something essential. It’s like going to a personal trainer and demanding they help you lose weight while telling them you have no intention of cutting the daily fast food, sugary drinks and excessive alcohol from your diet. Something’s gotta give.”

The Power of Team Clusters: A People-Centric Approach to Innovation

Written by Shay Dalton

“Based on principles of organisational psychology, a “team cluster” is a group of people with unique strengths who work together to create an environment that fosters innovation and high performance, according to Sundstrom et al. (2000). This approach differs from the traditional “superstar” model, which relies on one exceptionally talented individual to drive success. Instead, it suggests that a team made up of consistently above-average members is more likely to achieve optimal performance.”

The Role of Empathy in the Workplace: Impact and Implications

Written by Shay Dalton

“In a rapidly evolving socio-economic landscape punctuated by significant disruptions such as the global pandemic, the concept of emotional intelligence, specifically empathy, has become increasingly relevant within professional environments. Empathy, the ability to understand and share the feelings of others, is now viewed as a key leadership trait and an essential component of effective team dynamics.”

Professional Meaning: Why it’s Important and How to Find it

Written by Shay Dalton

“What we do does define us. Look no further than the first question directed your way by any small talk specialist at a party: what do you do? The question has a more pronounced meaning than simply what is your career. It’s designed to get a sense of what that profession says about you – your class, education, status, salary.”